The newest Czech models for prediction of financial corporate bankrupt

Kuběnka, Michal, 1979-

The newest Czech models for prediction of financial corporate bankrupt / Michal Kuběnka. -- 5 tabulek. -- Abstrakt: Since 2005 only 2 bankrupt models have appeared in the Czech Republic and Slovak Republic that would reflect/accentuate changes in national economies after the economic crisis in 2008 and would have a clear methodology. The bankrupt index of Karas and Režňáková (BIKR) and so called P' model of authors Delina and Packová are concerned. The accuracy of BIKR model is expressed as the weighted average of sensitivity and specificity and achieves the value 91.71%. The predictive power of model P' is expressed by the bankrupt prediction accuracy 21.26% and the bankrupt prediction return of 71.84%. The performed research has shown that the P' model achieves higher model accuracy. The sample of 1220 active and 286 bankrupted companies (based on simple average of sensitivity and specificity) has achieved the accuracy of 84.46%. Undertaken research results lead to recommendation to apply the P' model in business practice. -- Dostupné též v elektronické podobě.
In: Hradecké ekonomické dny. -- Hradec Economic Days. -- Hradec Králové: University of Hradec Králové, 2016. -- 457 s.. -- ISSN 2464-6059. -- 978-80-7435-633-9. -- S. 442-449 (tištěný sborník), s. 448-455 (online zdroj).

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